6 bd · 3.5 ba ·
3,396 sqft ·
Built 2003
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 22 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,392/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,543
Tax + insurance
−$701
HOA
−$55
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$712
Net cashflow
$-619/mo
Annual
$-7,434/yr
Cap rate
4.76%
Cash-on-cash
-5.47%
DSCR
0.76
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$135,800
Investor read
This is a 6-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $485k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-619 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $376k (22.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $339k (30.1% below list).
It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($478k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $339k (30.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#46 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Cherokee County (suburban): math 46% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #17 of 174 in GA (top 10%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 614 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,665 units permitted in Cherokee County in 2024 (852 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cherokee County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
10 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $280k; list at $485k implies a 73% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.4% in Woodstock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($107k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-S3AX7NARM0MGB2
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29