2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,019 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,031/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$561
Tax + insurance
−$63
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$216
Net cashflow
$191/mo
Annual
$2,289/yr
Cap rate
8.43%
Cash-on-cash
7.65%
DSCR
1.34
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$29,932
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $107k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $191 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $103k (3.6% below list).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($104k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $103k (3.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $739 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#172 in IA, #3,097 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Iowa Falls Community School District (town): math 62% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #184 of 289 in IA (top 64%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Rock Run Elementary (math 70% / reading 68%, grade A-, #263 of 616 statewide, top 43%, 294 students, 42% FRL); Riverbend Middle School (math 56% / reading 65%, grade B+, #183 of 246 statewide, top 75%, 288 students, 42% FRL); Iowa Falls - Alden High School (math 60% / reading 78%, grade B, #176 of 336 statewide, top 53%, 412 students, 35% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Hardin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hardin County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $52k; list at $107k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.8% in Iowa Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-S3CPM19XQQMYCN
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29