2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,327 sqft ·
Built 1984
· Condo
· Active
· 199 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,393/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$404
Tax + insurance
−$128
HOA
−$500
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$293
Net cashflow
$68/mo
Annual
$822/yr
Cap rate
7.36%
Cash-on-cash
3.81%
DSCR
1.17
1% rule
1.81%
Cash to close
$21,560
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $77k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $68 ($822/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $77k).
It's been on market 199 days — a 12% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $68k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $532 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
Judson ISD (suburban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #660 of 826 in TX (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: HOA is 36% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 193 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 199 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen backsplash
— Significant wear and tear
Major: bathroom shower curtain
— Significant wear and tear
Moderate: exterior siding
— Weathered and aged
Moderate: interior walls/paint
— Faded and in need of touch-up
Moderate: landscaping
— Sparse and in need of maintenance
CashFlowRE · CFR-S3DE085DTA78XQ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29