3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
924 sqft ·
Built 2010
· Manufactured
· Active
· 365 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$840/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$193
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$176
Net cashflow
$78/mo
Annual
$936/yr
Cap rate
7.54%
Cash-on-cash
4.46%
DSCR
1.20
1% rule
1.12%
Cash to close
$21,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $78 ($936/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($840 rent vs $75k).
It's been on market 365 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (7.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#413 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Monte Alto ISD (rural): math 16% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #777 of 826 in TX (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Roberto Garate El (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #2,791 of 4,322 statewide, top 68%, 384 students, 92% FRL); Jose Borrego Middle (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,360 of 1,662 statewide, top 83%, 186 students, 90% FRL); Monte Alto H S (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,591 of 1,632 statewide, top 98%, 295 students, 91% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (7.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 365 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior paint
— Painted walls show significant wear