3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,820 sqft ·
Built 1996
· Townhouse
· Active
· 79 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,844/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$878
Tax + insurance
−$185
HOA
−$694
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$807
Net cashflow
$1,279/mo
Annual
$15,351/yr
Cap rate
15.46%
Cash-on-cash
32.73%
DSCR
2.46
1% rule
2.29%
Cash to close
$46,900
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $168k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $168k).
It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($157k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $157k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $332 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#703 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Crystal Lakes Elementary School (math 55% / reading 64%, grade B-, #690 of 2,144 statewide, top 34%, 788 students, 37% FRL); Christa Mcauliffe Middle School (math 63% / reading 63%, grade B+, #111 of 571 statewide, top 20%, 1,387 students, 35% FRL); Park Vista Community High School (math 43% / reading 64%, grade C-, #146 of 667 statewide, top 22%, 3,191 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools average 34% FRL vs 52% district-wide (18 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 169 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (0.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-S49Q6MDA4SM6M1
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29