4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,316 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 370 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,130/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$446
Tax + insurance
−$142
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$237
Net cashflow
$305/mo
Annual
$3,659/yr
Cap rate
10.60%
Cash-on-cash
15.37%
DSCR
1.68
1% rule
1.33%
Cash to close
$23,800
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $305 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
It's been on market 370 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#546 in KS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: housing C-, health & safety C-, crime F.
Palco (rural): math 20% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #232 of 280 in KS (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Damar Elementary School (math 30% / reading 75%, grade C-, #128 of 684 statewide, top 19%, 53 students, 55% FRL); Palco Jr. High (math 24% / reading 75%, 14 students, 57% FRL); Palco High (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #105 of 327 statewide, top 49%, 30 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools average 54% FRL vs 33% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 42% at this address vs 25% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Palco average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Rooks County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 370 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29