2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
938 sqft ·
Built 1974
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,724/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$446
Tax + insurance
−$58
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$362
Net cashflow
$858/mo
Annual
$10,296/yr
Cap rate
18.41%
Cash-on-cash
43.26%
DSCR
2.92
1% rule
2.03%
Cash to close
$23,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $858 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#19 in MT, #2,473 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
Great Falls H S (urban): math 27% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #79 of 116 in MT (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Valley View School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #182 of 293 statewide, top 66%, 296 students, 0% FRL); North Middle School (math 43% / reading 55%, grade C-, #34 of 146 statewide, top 24%, 724 students, 0% FRL); C M Russell High School (math 32% / reading 43%, grade F, #47 of 132 statewide, top 35%, 1,454 students, 0% FRL).
Market conditions: 131 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 223 units permitted in Cascade County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cascade County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 18.4% vs local median 3.5% in Great Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-S4GQ2D1K4308WE
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29