4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,550 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Land
· Pending
· 168 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,252/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,648
Tax + insurance
−$186
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$473
Net cashflow
$-55/mo
Annual
$-660/yr
Cap rate
6.08%
Cash-on-cash
-0.75%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$87,979
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $314k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-55 ($-660/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $304k (3.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $225k (28.3% below list).
It's been on market 168 days — a 12% lower offer ($277k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $225k (28.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $26k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (7.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#98 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Pea Ridge School District (suburban): math 43% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #43 of 238 in AR (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Pea Ridge Primary School (575 students, 36% FRL); Pea Ridge Middle School (math 47% / reading 42%, grade D, #61 of 201 statewide, top 32%, 395 students, 34% FRL); Pea Ridge High School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #142 of 292 statewide, top 53%, 566 students, 24% FRL) — zoned schools at 31% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 433 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,359 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Benton County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (7.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $88k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.5% in Pea Ridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 168 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-S4J71C8EHBHPJZ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29