12 bd · 8.0 ba ·
— sqft ·
Built 2026
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 43 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$38,038/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$13,110
Tax + insurance
−$4,593
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$7,988
Net cashflow
$12,347/mo
Annual
$148,159/yr
Cap rate
12.42%
Cash-on-cash
21.90%
DSCR
1.97
1% rule
1.52%
Cash to close
$699,999
Investor read
This is a 2 × 6.0-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $2.50M. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $12k ($148k/yr) — positive. Per door: $6k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($38k rent vs $2.50M).
It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($2.42M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $2.42M (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $17k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $75k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#72 in NJ, #1,762 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing D+, cost of living F.
Ocean City School District (urban): math 31% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #212 of 472 in NJ (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: 426 active listings in the ZIP; 877 units permitted in Cape May County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cape May County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $700k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 3.4% in Ocean City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen renovation
— No photos of kitchen
Major: Bathroom renovation
— No photos of bathrooms
Major: Roof replacement
— No photos of roof
Major: Exterior siding and painting
— No photos of exterior
Major: Flooring replacement
— No photos of flooring
Major: Interior wall and paint work
— No photos of interior walls/paint
CashFlowRE · CFR-S4W0WB1SJ8AQTP
· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29