2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,146 sqft ·
Built 1935
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,631/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,468
Tax + insurance
−$512
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$343
Net cashflow
$-692/mo
Annual
$-8,304/yr
Cap rate
3.33%
Cash-on-cash
-10.59%
DSCR
0.53
1% rule
0.58%
Cash to close
$78,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $280k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-692 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $158k (43.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $163k (41.7% below list).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($276k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $158k (43.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Waterford School District (suburban): math 26% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #285 of 540 in MI (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 130 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
10 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $217k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-S56NM17W9RY4RH
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29