4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,352 sqft ·
Built —
· Manufactured
· Active
· 64 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,214/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$420
Tax + insurance
−$133
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$255
Net cashflow
$406/mo
Annual
$4,870/yr
Cap rate
12.38%
Cash-on-cash
21.74%
DSCR
1.97
1% rule
1.52%
Cash to close
$22,400
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $406 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#924 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Woodville ISD (town): math 34% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #563 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Woodville El (309 students, 81% FRL); Woodville Middle (math 28% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,036 of 1,662 statewide, top 63%, 279 students, 75% FRL); Woodville H S (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #591 of 1,632 statewide, top 38%, 367 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 57% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 260 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Tyler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tyler County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 2.5% in Ivanhoe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Driveway
— Some cracks and discoloration
Minor: Landscaping
— Overgrown vegetation
CashFlowRE · CFR-S5A2X0ETPSEGCS
· Data 1 month agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29