2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,248 sqft ·
Built 1985
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 29 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,028/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$79
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$216
Net cashflow
$209/mo
Annual
$2,512/yr
Cap rate
8.80%
Cash-on-cash
8.97%
DSCR
1.40
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$28,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $209 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (4.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#346 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Marion County (town): math 24% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #89 of 139 in TN (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 225 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $30k; list at $100k implies a 233% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (4.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 2.9% in Whitwell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-S67N8D2T5P1K42
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29