2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
970 sqft ·
Built 1946
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 115 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,419/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$981
Tax + insurance
−$150
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$298
Net cashflow
$-10/mo
Annual
$-117/yr
Cap rate
6.23%
Cash-on-cash
-0.22%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$52,360
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $187k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-10 ($-117/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $185k (0.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (24.1% below list).
It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $142k (24.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#211 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A, housing B; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
Rutherford County Schools (rural): math 43% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #98 of 178 in NC (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Mt. Vernon-Ruth Elementary School (math 57% / reading 52%, grade C, #302 of 1,410 statewide, top 23%, 235 students, 99% FRL); R-S Middle School (math 32% / reading 43%, grade F, #256 of 475 statewide, top 55%, 574 students, 100% FRL); R-S Central High School (math 62% / reading 42%, grade D+, #292 of 535 statewide, top 56%, 758 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 60% district-wide (39 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 318 active listings in the ZIP; 193 units permitted in Rutherford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rutherford County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
7 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $158k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.4% in Spindale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-S6GEYC01ADRJ3D
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29