2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,134 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,886/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,132
Tax + insurance
−$415
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$396
Net cashflow
$-57/mo
Annual
$-689/yr
Cap rate
5.97%
Cash-on-cash
-1.14%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$60,452
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $216k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-57 ($-689/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $206k (4.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $189k (12.7% below list).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $189k (12.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#261 in FL, #4,187 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Seminole (suburban): math 57% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #13 of 73 in FL (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Layer Elementary School (math 54% / reading 61%, grade C+, #764 of 2,144 statewide, top 36%, 608 students, 55% FRL); Indian Trails Middle School (math 60% / reading 60%, grade B, #135 of 571 statewide, top 24%, 1,197 students, 44% FRL); Winter Springs High School (math 43% / reading 55%, grade D, #193 of 667 statewide, top 29%, 2,038 students, 47% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 285 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,979 units permitted in Seminole County in 2024 (1,191 in 5+ unit buildings).
Seminole County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $138k; list at $216k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.6% in Winter Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-S6NRRP8HE3QNFK
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29