3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,016 sqft ·
Built 1973
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 223 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,028/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,287
Tax + insurance
−$409
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$426
Net cashflow
$-94/mo
Annual
$-1,134/yr
Cap rate
5.83%
Cash-on-cash
-1.65%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$68,740
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $246k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-94 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $232k (5.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $203k (17.4% below list).
It's been on market 223 days — a 12% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $203k (17.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#82 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: crime F, amenities F.
Douglas County (suburban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #92 of 174 in GA (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Bill Arp Elementary School (math 30% / reading 31%, grade F, #620 of 1,228 statewide, top 51%, 610 students, 72% FRL); Yeager Middle School (math 22% / reading 38%, grade F, #243 of 470 statewide, top 53%, 542 students, 70% FRL); Alexander High School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #162 of 424 statewide, top 40%, 1,823 students, 41% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents flat; 610 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 595 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Douglas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
9 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 11590% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $155k; list at $246k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.5% in Douglasville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 223 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29