5 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,601 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Land
· Pending
· 145 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,914/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,098
Tax + insurance
−$667
HOA
−$87
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$612
Net cashflow
$-549/mo
Annual
$-6,593/yr
Cap rate
4.64%
Cash-on-cash
-5.89%
DSCR
0.74
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$111,997
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath land listed at $400k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-549 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $320k (19.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $291k (27.2% below list).
It's been on market 145 days — a 12% lower offer ($352k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $291k (27.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#474 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Read-Pattillo Elementary School (math 52% / reading 52%, grade C-, #990 of 2,144 statewide, top 48%, 363 students, 54% FRL); New Smyrna Beach Middle School (math 43% / reading 43%, grade D-, #331 of 571 statewide, top 59%, 1,037 students, 53% FRL); New Smyrna Beach High School (math 34% / reading 52%, grade F, #255 of 667 statewide, top 39%, 1,810 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 607 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $59k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At $2,914/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($77k/yr) (locally 1139% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 145 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-S6V1Z484D41YGK
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29