4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,708 sqft ·
Built 1991
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,222/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,464
Tax + insurance
−$904
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$887
Net cashflow
$-33/mo
Annual
$-398/yr
Cap rate
6.21%
Cash-on-cash
-0.30%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$131,572
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $470k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-33 ($-398/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $464k (1.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $422k (10.1% below list).
Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $422k (10.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#175 in IL, #3,345 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Lake Zurich CUSD 95 (suburban): math 47% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #44 of 620 in IL (top 7%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Isaac Fox Elementary School (math 52% / reading 48%, grade D+, #176 of 2,056 statewide, top 9%, 525 students, 0% FRL); Lake Zurich Middle - S Campus (math 41% / reading 50%, grade D+, #89 of 665 statewide, top 14%, 599 students, 0% FRL); Lake Zurich High School (math 54% / reading 58%, grade C, #25 of 693 statewide, top 4%, 1,804 students, 0% FRL).
Market conditions: 164 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 948 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (424 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.5% in Lake Zurich — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-S780C8EV842QTQ
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29