4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,307 sqft ·
Built 1938
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 22 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,321/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$500
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$487
Net cashflow
$416/mo
Annual
$4,991/yr
Cap rate
9.14%
Cash-on-cash
10.19%
DSCR
1.45
1% rule
1.33%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $416 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $172k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 46/100 on livability (#1,721 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
South Fayette Township SD (suburban): math 67% / reading 85% proficiency, ranked #12 of 539 in PA (top 2%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 1.6% in Noblestown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-S8G5331J0JE8EK
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29