3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,484 sqft ·
Built 1956
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 34 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,111/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$472
Tax + insurance
−$94
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$233
Net cashflow
$312/mo
Annual
$3,742/yr
Cap rate
10.45%
Cash-on-cash
14.85%
DSCR
1.66
1% rule
1.23%
Cash to close
$25,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $312 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (6.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#142 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Andalusia City (town): math 29% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #35 of 129 in AL (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Andalusia Elementary School (math 29% / reading 53%, grade F, #233 of 627 statewide, top 38%, 1,126 students, 63% FRL); Andalusia Junior High (math 30% / reading 46%, grade F, #69 of 257 statewide, top 27%, 248 students, 75% FRL); Andalusia High School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #59 of 305 statewide, top 21%, 497 students, 61% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Covington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Covington County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $46k; list at $90k implies a 96% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (6.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 4.1% in Andalusia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-S98BAW1J42RMQY
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29