4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,536 sqft ·
Built 1903
· Other
· Active
· 186 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,302/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$288
Tax + insurance
−$39
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$273
Net cashflow
$701/mo
Annual
$8,412/yr
Cap rate
21.59%
Cash-on-cash
54.63%
DSCR
3.43
1% rule
2.37%
Cash to close
$15,400
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $55k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $701 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
It's been on market 186 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#97 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Devils Lake 1 (town): math 34% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #35 of 53 in ND (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Sweetwater Elementary School (math 62% / reading 47%, grade C, #39 of 236 statewide, top 21%, 265 students, 49% FRL); Central Middle School (math 31% / reading 38%, grade F, #24 of 35 statewide, top 71%, 518 students, 42% FRL); Devils Lake High School (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #128 of 144 statewide, top 90%, 500 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools at 43% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1903 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ramsey County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 186 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1903 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-S9KFBR9Z8YKW17
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29