3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,775 sqft ·
Built 1990
· Manufactured
· Active
· 88 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,706/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,146
Tax + insurance
−$217
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$568
Net cashflow
$775/mo
Annual
$9,300/yr
Cap rate
10.55%
Cash-on-cash
15.20%
DSCR
1.68
1% rule
1.24%
Cash to close
$61,180
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $218k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $775 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $218k).
It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($205k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $205k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#185 in WA, #4,905 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, employment A; Watch: commute F, cost of living F.
Orting School District (suburban): math 40% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #142 of 291 in WA (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 136 active listings in the ZIP; 3,209 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (1,269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pierce County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
7 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $76k; list at $218k implies a 186% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $61k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 2.8% in Orting — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-S9V1PPE59N9B2T
· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29