3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
768 sqft ·
Built 1955
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 69 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$901/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$106
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$189
Net cashflow
$212/mo
Annual
$2,545/yr
Cap rate
9.69%
Cash-on-cash
12.12%
DSCR
1.54
1% rule
1.20%
Cash to close
$21,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $212 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($901 rent vs $75k).
It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $70k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#301 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
East Baton Rouge Parish (urban): math 22% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #47 of 98 in LA (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Merrydale Elementary School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #597 of 646 statewide, top 95%, 274 students, 95% FRL); Liberty High School (math 50% / reading 74%, grade B-, #15 of 265 statewide, top 6%, 1,208 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools at 78% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).
East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
13 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 7.8% in Merrydale — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29