3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
978 sqft ·
Built 1956
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 78 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$947/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$257
Tax + insurance
−$73
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$199
Net cashflow
$418/mo
Annual
$5,017/yr
Cap rate
16.53%
Cash-on-cash
36.57%
DSCR
2.63
1% rule
1.93%
Cash to close
$13,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $49k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $418 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($947 rent vs $49k).
It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($46k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $46k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($339 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#228 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
Chaparral Schools (rural): math 29% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #110 of 169 in KS (top 65%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Anthony Elem (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #273 of 684 statewide, top 45%, 210 students, 71% FRL); Chaparral Jr/Sr High (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #267 of 327 statewide, top 84%, 350 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 52% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Harper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Harper County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $15k; list at $49k implies a 227% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29