12 bd · 4.0 ba ·
3,415 sqft ·
Built 1928
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 352 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$14,836/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$8,391
Tax + insurance
−$1,973
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,116
Net cashflow
$1,357/mo
Annual
$16,278/yr
Cap rate
7.31%
Cash-on-cash
3.63%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$448,000
Investor read
This is a 3 × 4.0-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.60M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $452/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.48M (7.3% below list).
It's been on market 352 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.41M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.41M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $11k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $48k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#355 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: housing C-, amenities F, cost of living F.
Harrison Central School District (suburban): math 69% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #92 of 590 in NY (top 16%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 62 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $448k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 2.2% in Harrison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $14,836/mo this rent would consume 115% of the median local household income ($154k/yr) (locally 461% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 352 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SABVY878KXWFY6
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29