3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,056 sqft ·
Built 1973
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,000/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,229
Tax + insurance
−$377
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$840
Net cashflow
$554/mo
Annual
$6,651/yr
Cap rate
7.86%
Cash-on-cash
5.59%
DSCR
1.25
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$119,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $425k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $554 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $400k (5.9% below list).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($419k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $400k (5.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Mashpee (suburban): math 34% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #183 of 302 in MA (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 140 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 657 units permitted in Barnstable County in 2024 (178 in 5+ unit buildings).
Barnstable County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $75k; list at $425k implies a 467% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SBC3VA7K6EWTFX
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29