2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
774 sqft ·
Built 1938
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 8 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$847/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$86
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$178
Net cashflow
$216/mo
Annual
$2,595/yr
Cap rate
10.00%
Cash-on-cash
13.24%
DSCR
1.59
1% rule
1.21%
Cash to close
$19,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $216 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($847 rent vs $70k).
Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#52 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Lincoln County Schools (rural): math 17% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #54 of 55 in WV (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Hamlin Pk-8 (math 24% / reading 29%, grade F, #283 of 377 statewide, top 76%, 434 students, 0% FRL); Lincoln County High School (math 12% / reading 42%, grade F, #79 of 110 statewide, top 78%, 852 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 55% district-wide (55 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lincoln County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $45k; list at $70k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SC77ZVEH06KY3M
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29