3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,360 sqft ·
Built 1978
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,000/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,678
Tax + insurance
−$552
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$210
Net cashflow
$-1,440/mo
Annual
$-17,275/yr
Cap rate
0.89%
Cash-on-cash
-19.29%
DSCR
0.14
1% rule
0.31%
Cash to close
$89,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $320k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-17k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $100k (68.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (68.7% below list).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($315k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $100k (68.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $19k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#158 in IL, #2,935 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
County Of Woodford School (town): math 47% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #75 of 620 in IL (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Metamora High School (math 47% / reading 44%, grade D-, #58 of 693 statewide, top 8%, 915 students, 0% FRL).
Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 35 units permitted in Woodford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Woodford County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SC9SVH8PFJXMC6
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29