2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,000 sqft ·
Built 2025
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 191 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,145/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$417
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$450
Net cashflow
$-33/mo
Annual
$-399/yr
Cap rate
6.13%
Cash-on-cash
-0.57%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$70,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $250k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-33 ($-399/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $245k (1.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $214k (14.2% below list).
It's been on market 191 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $214k (14.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 48/100 on livability (#151 in HI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Watch: housing C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
Hawaii Department Of Education (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #1 of 1 in HI (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Naalehu Elementary School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #171 of 183 statewide, top 94%, 422 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 39% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 15% at this address vs 41% district-wide (-26 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hawaii Department Of Education average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: 272 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 982 units permitted in Hawaii County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hawaii County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 5.0% in Hawaiian Ocean View — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
At $2,145/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 191 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SD0SY8AGGERKHP
· Data 2 months agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29