2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
832 sqft ·
Built 1956
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 504 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,430/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$577
Tax + insurance
−$284
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$300
Net cashflow
$269/mo
Annual
$3,227/yr
Cap rate
9.23%
Cash-on-cash
10.48%
DSCR
1.47
1% rule
1.30%
Cash to close
$30,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $269 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
It's been on market 504 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#425 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools C-, employment D, amenities F.
Farmersville ISD (town): math 38% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #298 of 826 in TX (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 415 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 19,194 units permitted in Collin County in 2024 (3,988 in 5+ unit buildings).
Collin County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (35%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 4.0% in Farmersville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 504 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SD2D9PFS3E4PWW
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29