3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
560 sqft ·
Built 2017
· Other
· Active
· 26 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$913/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$117
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$192
Net cashflow
$237/mo
Annual
$2,846/yr
Cap rate
10.36%
Cash-on-cash
14.52%
DSCR
1.65
1% rule
1.30%
Cash to close
$19,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $70k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $237 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($913 rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $69k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 49/100 on livability (#913 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
Gasconade County R-II (rural): math 42% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #114 of 324 in MO (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 614 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (100 in 5+ unit buildings).
Franklin County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Signs of potential leaks and wear.
Major: exterior siding
— Severe peeling and weathering.
Major: interior walls and paint
— No photos of interior condition, but exterior suggests poor condition.
Major: systems
— No photos of systems, but overall condition suggests outdated or broken components.
Major: landscaping
— Sparse and overgrown, indicating a need for improvement to enhance curb appeal.
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· Data 35 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29