4 bd · 3.5 ba ·
3,480 sqft ·
Built 2025
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 193 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$25,000/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$9,434
Tax + insurance
−$2,998
HOA
−$42
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$5,250
Net cashflow
$7,276/mo
Annual
$87,306/yr
Cap rate
11.15%
Cash-on-cash
17.33%
DSCR
1.77
1% rule
1.39%
Cash to close
$503,720
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $1.80M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $7k ($87k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($25k rent vs $1.80M).
It's been on market 193 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.58M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.58M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $58k of equity ($12k loan paydown + $45k appreciation (2.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#133 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Salisbury School District (rural): math 60% / reading 80% proficiency, ranked #55 of 192 in CT (top 29%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 9% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Salisbury Central School (math 62% / reading 77%, grade A-, #78 of 553 statewide, top 17%, 296 students, 18% FRL).
Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 154 units permitted in Northwest Hills Planning Region in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $601k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (2.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $504k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$145k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 1.7% in Canaan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 193 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SD9Q536ENE8Q69
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29