4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,732 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 23 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,394/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,537
Tax + insurance
−$488
HOA
−$44
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$503
Net cashflow
$-178/mo
Annual
$-2,130/yr
Cap rate
5.57%
Cash-on-cash
-2.60%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$82,047
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $271k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-178 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $267k (1.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $239k (11.8% below list).
It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($267k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $239k (11.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $25k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (8.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#384 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Baldwin County (rural): math 33% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #18 of 129 in AL (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Summerdale School (math 23% / reading 55%, grade F, #257 of 627 statewide, top 41%, 573 students, 77% FRL); Elberta High School (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #47 of 305 statewide, top 17%, 784 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 38% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,883 units permitted in Baldwin County in 2024 (481 in 5+ unit buildings).
Baldwin County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SDZMSB7YQKP1KT
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29