4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,593 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,504/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$939
Tax + insurance
−$255
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$316
Net cashflow
$-5/mo
Annual
$-63/yr
Cap rate
6.26%
Cash-on-cash
-0.12%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$50,120
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $179k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-5 ($-63/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $178k (0.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (16.0% below list).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($174k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $150k (16.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#383 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
Ballard Community School District (rural): math 80% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #28 of 289 in IA (top 10%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Ballard West Elementary (472 students, 17% FRL); Ballard Middle School (math 84% / reading 82%, grade A+, #13 of 246 statewide, top 6%, 432 students, 15% FRL); Ballard High School (math 71% / reading 78%, grade B+, #89 of 336 statewide, top 30%, 545 students, 17% FRL) — zoned schools at 17% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 196 units permitted in Story County in 2024 (34 in 5+ unit buildings).
Story County population projected at +54% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SEJZ5XBT4Z05TA
· Data 18 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29