1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
800 sqft ·
Built 1962
· Condo
· Active
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,802/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$944
Tax + insurance
−$300
HOA
−$982
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$588
Net cashflow
$-13/mo
Annual
$-151/yr
Cap rate
6.21%
Cash-on-cash
-0.30%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
1.56%
Cash to close
$50,400
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $180k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-13 ($-151/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $178k (1.0% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $180k).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $175k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#69 in NY, #1,033 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Freeport Union Free School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #325 of 590 in NY (top 55%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: HOA is 35% of rent.
Market conditions: 199 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.0% in Freeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen cabinets
— Yellow cabinets need repainting or replacement
Major: Bathroom fixtures
— Outdated and worn fixtures need replacement
Major: Kitchen countertops
— Worn and dated countertops need replacement
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29