2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
950 sqft ·
Built 1954
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 133 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$909/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$351
Tax + insurance
−$90
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$191
Net cashflow
$277/mo
Annual
$3,318/yr
Cap rate
11.25%
Cash-on-cash
17.69%
DSCR
1.79
1% rule
1.36%
Cash to close
$18,760
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $67k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $277 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($909 rent vs $67k).
It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $59k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $463 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#371 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, health & safety B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Dougherty County (urban): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #163 of 174 in GA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Live Oak Elementary School (math 22% / reading 17%, grade F, #878 of 1,228 statewide, top 75%, 805 students, 100% FRL); Merry Acres Middle School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #449 of 470 statewide, top 97%, 764 students, 100% FRL); Westover High School (math 5% / reading 24%, grade F, #297 of 424 statewide, top 74%, 1,360 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 79% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.4%/yr); 184 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45 units permitted in Dougherty County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dougherty County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 4.7% in Albany — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SFC7R9B8ZSZQ65
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29