3 bd · 4.0 ba ·
3,178 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 159 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,634/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$209
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$343
Net cashflow
$348/mo
Annual
$4,174/yr
Cap rate
9.27%
Cash-on-cash
10.65%
DSCR
1.47
1% rule
1.17%
Cash to close
$39,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $348 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $15k of equity ($968 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#63 in IA, #1,432 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
Des Moines Independent Community School District (urban): math 43% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #289 of 289 in IA (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Moulton Elementary School (math 31% / reading 21%, grade F, #612 of 616 statewide, top 99%, 420 students, 95% FRL); Harding Middle School (math 31% / reading 30%, grade F, #245 of 246 statewide, top 100%, 655 students, 90% FRL); North High School (math 33% / reading 45%, grade F, #326 of 336 statewide, top 97%, 1,458 students, 87% FRL) — zoned schools average 90% FRL vs 63% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 32% at this address vs 44% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Des Moines Independent Community School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 64 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,953 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (540 in 5+ unit buildings).
Polk County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $23k; list at $140k implies a 509% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SG1DW78M9R4V2W
· Data 12 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29