15 S 1st St Unit A1409

Minneapolis, MN 55401

$159,900D

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 714 sqft · Built 1965 · Condo · Active · 10 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,025/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$839
• Tax + insurance: −$240
• HOA: −$718
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$425
• Net cashflow: $-197/mo
• Annual: $-2,359/yr
• Cap rate: 4.82%
• Cash-on-cash: -5.27%
• DSCR: 0.77
• 1% rule: 1.27%
• Cash to close: $44,772

Investor read

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $160k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-197 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $125k (21.7% below list).
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
• Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Recommended offer: $125k (21.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• In year one you build about $437 of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-669 appreciation (-0.4% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#110 in MN, #2,525 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
• Minneapolis Public School District (urban): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #217 of 301 in MN (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Las Estrellas Elementary (math 15% / reading 12%, grade F, #797 of 857 statewide, top 93%, 336 students, 75% FRL); Northeast Middle (math 13% / reading 31%, grade F, #225 of 258 statewide, top 89%, 501 students, 65% FRL); Edison High (math 24% / reading 50%, grade F, #282 of 471 statewide, top 63%, 896 students, 76% FRL).
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 24% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Minneapolis Public School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Watch-outs: HOA is 35% of rent.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 159 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 5 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.1% in Minneapolis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.