3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,226 sqft ·
Built 1964
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 215 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,338/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$471
Tax + insurance
−$168
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$281
Net cashflow
$418/mo
Annual
$5,015/yr
Cap rate
11.87%
Cash-on-cash
19.92%
DSCR
1.89
1% rule
1.49%
Cash to close
$25,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $90k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $418 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
It's been on market 215 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $606 appreciation (0.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#1,279 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety C-, employment D+.
Valley Grove SD (rural): math 36% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #256 of 539 in PA (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Valley Grove El Sch (math 38% / reading 59%, grade D, #718 of 1,518 statewide, top 48%, 442 students, 63% FRL); Rocky Grove Jshs (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D-, #167 of 437 statewide, top 39%, 369 students, 47% FRL).
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 42 units permitted in Venango County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Venango County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (40%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (0.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 215 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SGBHHNA5X6AVWE
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29