5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,495 sqft ·
Built 1971
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,845/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,780
Tax + insurance
−$643
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$387
Net cashflow
$-966/mo
Annual
$-11,597/yr
Cap rate
2.88%
Cash-on-cash
-12.20%
DSCR
0.46
1% rule
0.54%
Cash to close
$95,060
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $340k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-966 ($-12k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $169k (50.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (45.7% below list).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $169k (50.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Puckett El (math 62% / reading 62%, grade B, #321 of 4,322 statewide, top 8%, 344 students, 32% FRL); Crockett Middle (math 66% / reading 47%, grade B, #226 of 1,662 statewide, top 14%, 874 students, 44% FRL); Amarillo H S (math 55% / reading 64%, grade C+, #275 of 1,632 statewide, top 19%, 2,170 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools average 36% FRL vs 58% district-wide (22 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 59% at this address vs 42% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Amarillo ISD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 157 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 45 units permitted in Randall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Randall County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SGW0WCDMYNYBZH
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29