4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,206 sqft ·
Built 2004
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 70 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,398/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,486
Tax + insurance
−$379
HOA
−$39
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$713
Net cashflow
$-219/mo
Annual
$-2,630/yr
Cap rate
5.74%
Cash-on-cash
-1.98%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$132,720
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $474k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-219 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $435k (8.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $340k (28.3% below list).
It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($446k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $340k (28.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#313 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, commute F.
Currituck County Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #67 of 178 in NC (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Moyock Elementary (math 50% / reading 51%, grade D+, #403 of 1,410 statewide, top 29%, 725 students, 12% FRL); Currituck County High (math 52% / reading 64%, grade C, #243 of 535 statewide, top 46%, 1,057 students, 30% FRL).
Market conditions: 292 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 429 units permitted in Currituck County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Currituck County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 94% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.6% in Moyock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($112k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SH74CCFMPKR078
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29