4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,338 sqft ·
Built 2000
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 35 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,478/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,809
Tax + insurance
−$210
HOA
−$21
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$520
Net cashflow
$-83/mo
Annual
$-1,001/yr
Cap rate
6.00%
Cash-on-cash
-1.04%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$96,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $345k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-83 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $330k (4.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $248k (28.2% below list).
It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($335k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $248k (28.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $37k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $34k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#750 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Hendry (town): math 35% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #65 of 73 in FL (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Country Oaks Elementary School (math 48% / reading 45%, grade D-, #1,223 of 2,144 statewide, top 57%, 893 students, 75% FRL); Labelle Middle School (math 37% / reading 38%, grade F, #395 of 571 statewide, top 70%, 817 students, 72% FRL); Labelle High School (math 42% / reading 41%, grade F, #284 of 667 statewide, top 43%, 1,451 students, 62% FRL).
Market conditions: 950 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 557 units permitted in Hendry County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hendry County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$59k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $2,478/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($57k/yr) (locally 498% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SJF7344DFJ5MB3
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29