1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
600 sqft ·
Built 1965
· Condo
· Active
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,251/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,045
Tax + insurance
−$1,076
HOA
−$826
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$683
Net cashflow
$-1,379/mo
Annual
$-16,544/yr
Cap rate
3.36%
Cash-on-cash
-10.47%
DSCR
0.53
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$109,172
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $390k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-17k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $310k (20.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $325k (16.6% below list).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($378k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $310k (20.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#84 in NY, #1,285 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Long Beach City School District (suburban): math 66% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #150 of 590 in NY (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Lindell Boulevard School (math 72% / reading 72%, grade A-, #378 of 2,108 statewide, top 20%, 372 students, 21% FRL); Long Beach Middle School (math 39% / reading 61%, grade C, #261 of 729 statewide, top 36%, 721 students, 25% FRL); Long Beach High School (math 91% / reading 75%, grade A, #440 of 1,100 statewide, top 40%, 1,314 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools at 26% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 25% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 353 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $256k; list at $390k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.4% vs local median 2.1% in Long Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
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