2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
993 sqft ·
Built 2000
· Condo
· Pending
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,586/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$198
HOA
−$398
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$333
Net cashflow
$-130/mo
Annual
$-1,558/yr
Cap rate
5.25%
Cash-on-cash
-3.71%
DSCR
0.83
1% rule
1.06%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-130 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $127k (15.3% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $127k (15.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#97 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Rockwood R-VI (suburban): math 51% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #9 of 324 in MO (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Geggie Elem. (math 43% / reading 60%, grade C-, #268 of 1,115 statewide, top 24%, 654 students, 7% FRL); Lasalle Springs Middle (math 46% / reading 59%, grade C+, #54 of 391 statewide, top 14%, 872 students, 12% FRL); Eureka Sr. High (math 36% / reading 66%, grade D+, #109 of 521 statewide, top 21%, 1,712 students, 10% FRL) — zoned schools at 10% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 25% of rent.
Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $113k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.2% in Eureka — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SK1SQRFX7KYP6M
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29