3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,259 sqft ·
Built 1985
· Other
· Active
· 62 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,790/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,411
Tax + insurance
−$515
HOA
−$32
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$586
Net cashflow
$247/mo
Annual
$2,960/yr
Cap rate
7.69%
Cash-on-cash
4.99%
DSCR
1.22
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$75,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $269k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $247 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $269k).
It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($253k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $253k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#222 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A, health & safety B+, crime B; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Dare County Schools (town): math 44% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #77 of 178 in NC (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: First Flight Elementary School (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #497 of 1,410 statewide, top 38%, 320 students, 48% FRL); First Flight Middle School (math 43% / reading 54%, grade C-, #127 of 475 statewide, top 28%, 612 students, 32% FRL); First Flight High School (math 62% / reading 47%, grade C-, #270 of 535 statewide, top 52%, 956 students, 27% FRL) — zoned schools at 36% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 198 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 371 units permitted in Dare County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dare County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 1.6% in Kill Devil Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SK203DCAFVJF71
· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29