4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,410 sqft ·
Built 1904
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 127 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,199/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$233
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$462
Net cashflow
$770/mo
Annual
$9,235/yr
Cap rate
12.89%
Cash-on-cash
23.56%
DSCR
2.05
1% rule
1.57%
Cash to close
$39,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $770 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#110 in MN, #2,525 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
Minneapolis Public School District (urban): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #217 of 301 in MN (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Bethune Elementary (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #842 of 857 statewide, top 99%, 276 students, 90% FRL); Franklin Middle (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #255 of 258 statewide, top 100%, 287 students, 89% FRL); Henry High (reading 70%, 858 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 58% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 6% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-34 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Minneapolis Public School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.3%/yr); 194 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 54d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $92k; list at $140k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.3% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 3.2% in Minneapolis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exterior siding
— The exterior siding is peeling and in need of repainting.
Major: Windows
— The windows are in poor condition, with some showing signs of damage or lack of maintenance.
Minor: Kitchen cabinets
— The kitchen cabinets are outdated and could be replaced with modern ones.
Minor: Bathroom fixtures
— The bathroom fixtures are outdated and could be replaced with modern ones.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SM3AJ49B5M6EM5
· Data 20 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29