3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,489 sqft ·
Built 1963
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 50 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,696/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,153
Tax + insurance
−$341
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$356
Net cashflow
$-155/mo
Annual
$-1,856/yr
Cap rate
5.45%
Cash-on-cash
-3.01%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$61,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-155 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $193k (12.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $170k (22.9% below list).
It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $170k (22.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#517 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Northmont City (suburban): math 52% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #318 of 656 in OH (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Kleptz Early Childhood Learning Center (833 students, 34% FRL); Northmont Middle School (math 47% / reading 58%, grade C+, #378 of 654 statewide, top 59%, 777 students, 37% FRL); Northmont High School (math 37% / reading 64%, grade D+, #380 of 781 statewide, top 49%, 1,392 students, 34% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 90 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $103k; list at $220k implies a 113% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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