2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,100 sqft ·
Built 1928
· Condo
· Pending
· 69 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,599/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,468
Tax + insurance
−$466
HOA
−$1,136
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$756
Net cashflow
$-227/mo
Annual
$-2,729/yr
Cap rate
5.32%
Cash-on-cash
-3.48%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
1.29%
Cash to close
$78,372
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $280k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-227 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $280k).
It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($263k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $263k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#410 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
White Plains City School District (urban): math 49% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #313 of 590 in NY (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: White Plains Middle School (math 36% / reading 53%, grade D, #348 of 729 statewide, top 50%, 1,517 students, 50% FRL); White Plains Senior High School (math 89% / reading 67%, grade A-, #577 of 1,100 statewide, top 52%, 2,220 students, 53% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 32% of rent; built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 112 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $238k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 4.3% in White Plains — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-SMGQSJE96E9E6Q
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29