4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,046 sqft ·
Built 1600
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 94 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,414/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$81
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$297
Net cashflow
$433/mo
Annual
$5,197/yr
Cap rate
10.81%
Cash-on-cash
16.14%
DSCR
1.72
1% rule
1.23%
Cash to close
$32,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $433 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $105k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Tussey Mountain SD (rural): math 26% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #412 of 539 in PA (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1600 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 70 units permitted in Huntingdon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Huntingdon County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
7 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $55k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (0.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1600 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SMN6X27293TCH4
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29