3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,406 sqft ·
Built 1976
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 32 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,242/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$771
Tax + insurance
−$133
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$261
Net cashflow
$78/mo
Annual
$934/yr
Cap rate
6.93%
Cash-on-cash
2.27%
DSCR
1.10
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$41,160
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $147k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $78 ($934/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (15.5% below list).
It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $124k (15.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#348 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Anniston City (urban): math 2% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #128 of 129 in AL (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 87% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Golden Springs Elementary School (math 2% / reading 27%, grade F, #508 of 627 statewide, top 84%, 414 students, 78% FRL); Anniston Middle School (math 2% / reading 0%, grade F, #257 of 257 statewide, top 100%, 393 students, 91% FRL); Anniston High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #265 of 305 statewide, top 89%, 466 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools at 85% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 128 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 135 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Calhoun County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 5.1% in Anniston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29