3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,000 sqft ·
Built 1964
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 35 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,651/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$121
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$347
Net cashflow
$265/mo
Annual
$3,184/yr
Cap rate
8.11%
Cash-on-cash
6.50%
DSCR
1.29
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $265 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $165k (5.6% below list).
It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $165k (5.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#59 in VA, #1,691 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, commute F.
Washington County Public School District (rural): math 68% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #15 of 131 in VA (top 12%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Abingdon Elementary (math 66% / reading 77%, grade A-, #299 of 1,108 statewide, top 27%, 423 students, 70% FRL); E.B. Stanley Middle (math 68% / reading 82%, grade A, #49 of 342 statewide, top 14%, 643 students, 66% FRL); Abingdon High (math 77% / reading 87%, grade A, #40 of 319 statewide, top 15%, 867 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 42% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 159 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 99 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $115k; list at $175k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.1% in Abingdon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SQM20ZER9QQX7E
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29